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Changes in the aluminium market

2019-09-03

Several concentrated production cuts in the aluminum market in August completely changed the supply pattern of electrolytic aluminum in 2019. In mid-August, due to the typhoon caused force majeure and the impact of production accidents, Shandong Weiqiao, Xinjiang Xinfa, Aba Aluminum Plant and other production reduction incidents, combined with the partial suspension of Zhongwang Aluminum and the replacement of production by Jinning Aluminum and Magnesium, Antaike The total impact of the statistics is about 1.7 million tons. The newly added capacity enterprises in the month include Yun Aluminum Haixin, Guizhou Denggao, Chinalco China Resources, Mengtai Aluminum, Shaanxi Meixin, etc. The above projects are all put into production in the previous stage, and the contribution to the monthly output is limited. It is even more difficult to offset the loss of production due to the reduction in production by scale.

As of the end of August 2019, Antaike reported that China's electrolytic aluminum has a capacity of 40.728 million tons/year, down 6.7% year-on-year (to eliminate illegal production capacity). The operating capacity was 35.17 million tons/year, a year-on-year decrease of 5.7%, a decrease of 3.8% from the previous month, and the monthly operating rate dropped to 86%. It is estimated that China's electrolytic aluminum output will reach 3.002 million tons in August 2019, and the daily output will drop significantly to 96,800 tons, equivalent to the production level in October 2017. In 2017, the supply-side reform will affect the large-scale production reduction of the whole industry, and the output will drop significantly at the end of the year. . Considering that August production cuts began in the middle of the month, China's electrolytic aluminum production will continue to decline in September.

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